Liverpool Favored to Retain Premier League Title Over Arsenal and Chelsea

Liverpool are the favourites to retain the Premier League title this season, according to research by the CIES Football Observatory.

Arne Slot guided the Reds to the 2024-25 crown, finishing 10 points clear of Arsenal. The study assigns Liverpool a 28.9% probability of lifting the trophy again.

Arsenal (18.8%) and Chelsea (16.2%) follow, with Manchester City on 14.4%. Manchester United have a 2.6% chance of ending their decade-long title drought.

European League Predictions

• Scottish Premiership: Celtic 63.3%, Rangers 28.9%
• La Liga: Real Madrid 40.6%, Barcelona 29.6%
• Bundesliga: Bayern Munich 61.4%, Borussia Dortmund 8.8%
• Serie A: Inter Milan 25.6%, Juventus 18.2%, Napoli 17.4%
• Ligue 1: PSG 73.0%

The CIES model evaluates 29 leagues using sporting, economic and demographic factors — from passes into the final third to transfer fees. Serbia’s Crvena Zvezda top the list with a 76.2% chance of retaining their title.

The CIES Observatory model suggests Liverpool lead the Premier League title race with a nearly 29% chance, ahead of rivals Arsenal and Chelsea.

This topic was reported by BBC Sport.

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