Dick’s Sporting Goods Stock: Undervalued Despite Rifle Sales Controversy
Richard Suttmeier
Richard Suttmeier 6 years ago
Chief Executive Officer, Founder, Senior Financial Markets Analyst #Markets News
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Dick’s Sporting Goods Stock: Undervalued Despite Rifle Sales Controversy

Dick’s Sporting Goods maintains an attractive P/E ratio of 11.79 alongside a dependable dividend yield of 2.82%, presenting a compelling investment opportunity.

Shares of Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) have been gradually approaching their 200-day simple moving average following the tragic school shooting in southern Florida on Valentine's Day. On February 28, the company announced it would cease selling assault-style rifles and prohibit firearm sales to anyone under 21 years old, sparking debate over Second Amendment rights. As of March 9, the stock closed at $31.92, reflecting a 2.5% decline since February 14. Before this incident, shares had climbed nearly 13% from the 2018 low of $28.86 recorded on February 6.

The stock currently trades in correction territory, down 10.1% from its January 23 peak of $35.50.

Analysts forecast Dick's Sporting Goods to report earnings per share between $1.20 and $1.23 when it releases its quarterly results before the market opens on Tuesday, March 13. Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates suggest a potential earnings beat, with particular attention on the company's commentary regarding firearm sales, especially rifles. (See also: BlackRock Challenges Gun Manufacturers and Retailers.)

Technical Analysis - Daily Chart

Daily technical chart showing Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) stock performance
Daily technical chart illustrating Dick’s Sporting Goods stock trends

Image courtesy of MetaStock Xenith

The daily chart reveals a "golden cross" on March 7, where the 50-day simple moving average surpassed the 200-day SMA, signaling potential upward momentum ahead of earnings. The current 50-day and 200-day SMAs stand at $32.03 and $31.70, respectively. A key resistance level is identified at $47.90, while a support level is noted at $26.08, representing quarterly risk and semiannual value points.

Technical Analysis - Weekly Chart

Weekly technical chart showing Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) stock performance
Weekly technical chart illustrating Dick’s Sporting Goods stock trends

Image courtesy of MetaStock Xenith

Last week, the weekly chart closed slightly negative; however, a positive earnings report could shift this trend. The stock finished just below its five-week modified moving average of $31.99 and remains significantly under its 200-week SMA of $45.50, a level last approached in May 2017 when the average was $49.93. The weekly slow stochastic indicator closed at 62.44, down from 67.86 on March 2. A close above $31.99 this week would upgrade the stock’s technical rating from neutral to potentially positive.

For those interested in mastering moving averages and chart analysis, refer to Chapter 2 of the Technical Analysis course at Investopedia Academy.

Based on this technical and fundamental analysis, investors are advised to consider purchasing Dick's Sporting Goods shares during price dips near the $26.08 semiannual value level, and to consider trimming positions when the stock approaches the 200-week SMA around $45.50, which gradually declines over time. (For further insights, see: In-Depth Look at Dick’s Updated Valuation.)

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