Unveiling the True Scale of COVID-19 Infections in Russia: A Hidden Crisis Revealed
Discover groundbreaking research from Sberbank's Sberindex lab revealing the actual COVID-19 infection rates in Russia far exceed official counts, reshaping our understanding of the pandemic's impact.
Official COVID-19 mortality statistics may be significantly overstated due to unreported mild and asymptomatic cases.
Sberbank's research division, Sberindex, has released a comprehensive year-end study analyzing the pandemic's progression in Russia. Their findings reveal that the actual number of COVID-19 infections is approximately 5 to 6 times higher than the figures reported by official sources, according to RBC.
This discrepancy arises largely because many individuals experience mild or symptomless infections, which often go undetected. As a result, mortality rates appear inflated, and the perceived severity of the disease is exaggerated in most instances.
The study also highlights that, accounting for asymptomatic carriers, around 165,000 people in Russia contract the virus daily—nearly six times the official daily count of 27,000 to 29,000 cases. By December 31, the total number of people who have contracted COVID-19 is estimated at 16.6 million, representing 11.3% of the nation's population. In contrast, official data recorded only 2.4 million infections as of December 25.
These insights are derived from an advanced epidemiological simulator utilizing the SEIR mathematical model. This model incorporates observed epidemic trends, population density, geographic mobility, transportation flow, and various other critical epidemic parameters to provide a more accurate representation of the virus's spread.
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