Walmart Stock Plummets in 2025 After Disappointing Growth Forecast Despite Strong Q4 Results
Discover why Walmart's shares tumbled in 2025 despite beating Q4 earnings expectations, as the retail giant issued a cautious outlook that fell short of analyst predictions.
Walmart Inc. (WMT) delivered solid fourth-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025, surpassing analyst forecasts, but its cautious revenue and earnings guidance for the upcoming periods triggered a sharp decline in its stock price.
For the final quarter, Walmart reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66 on revenues totaling $180.55 billion, outperforming analysts’ expectations of $0.64 EPS and $180.31 billion in revenue, according to Visible Alpha data.
However, Walmart’s outlook for the first quarter and the full fiscal year 2026 fell below market consensus. The company anticipates revenue growth between 3% and 4% for both periods, trailing analyst estimates of 3.7% and 4.2%, respectively. Adjusted EPS guidance ranges from $0.57 to $0.58 in Q1 and $2.50 to $2.60 for the year, which is also below expectations.
Leading up to the earnings release, several analysts had raised their price targets on Walmart, optimistic about the retailer’s ability to exceed fourth-quarter estimates. Despite this, many anticipated a conservative guidance approach, consistent with Walmart’s previous communications.
Following the announcement, Walmart’s stock, which had surged over 80% in the past year, dropped approximately 6% shortly after market open on Thursday.
Note: This article includes the latest updates on Walmart’s share price movements.
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