UK inflation holds at 3.8% in August as food prices surge
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UK inflation holds at 3.8% in August as food prices surge

UK consumer prices rose by 3.8% year-on-year in August, matching July's rate as food inflation climbs amid rising wage and National Insurance costs ahead of the Bank of England decision.

Inflation in the year to August held at 3.8%, unchanged from July, as food prices rose while airfares and clothing costs eased.

Food inflation hit 5.1%, driven by higher cheese, fish and vegetable costs as supermarkets passed on increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions to consumers.

Impact on households and policy

The sustained rise in food costs has outpaced average pay growth, squeezing family budgets and adding pressure on the Bank of England, which is expected to keep interest rates at 4% when policymakers meet this week.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged the strain on households and pledged to reduce costs ahead of her Budget on 26 November, while the opposition criticised Labour tax policies for stoking inflation.

A line chart titled 'UK inflation rate at 3.8% in August', showing the UK Consumer Price Index annual inflation rate, from January 2020 to August 2025. In the year to January 2020, inflation was 1.8%. It then fell close to 0% in late-2020 before rising sharply, hitting a high of 11.1% in October 2022. It then fell to a low of 1.7% in September 2024 before rising again. In the year to August 2025, prices rose 3.8%, in line with the previous month.

Domestic factors driving inflation

Economists noted that higher employer National Insurance, introduced in April 2024, has been passed on to consumers, making the UK an inflation outlier compared with France’s 0.8% and Germany’s 2.1% rates in August.

Items such as beef and veal soared by 24.9%, butter by 18.9% and chocolate by 15.4% over the year, according to the Office for National Statistics.

Table showing five items with big price rises over the past year. It includes small images of the item next to the percentage increase: Beef and veal 24.9%, Butter 18.9%, Chocolate 15.4%, Coffee 15.4% and Whole milk 12.6%. Source ONS

'NICs rise has stung'

Coosh Bakery co-founder and director Tom Egan

Tom Egan, co-founder of Coosh Bakery in Nottingham, said cocoa and butter prices have more than doubled over the year, and the rise in National Insurance has forced the business to delay investment in technology and equipment.

UK inflation remains stubbornly above the 2% target at 3.8%, driven by rising food costs and domestic tax policies, complicating the Bank of England’s rate outlook.

This topic was reported by BBC News.

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